Mackenzie Blackwood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 87.3
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 28, 2026.
January 28, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Mads Sogaard
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 25
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 36
- Save %
- 83.3
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 22.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.46
- xG against / game
- 2.64
- xG differential / game
- 0.83
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.20
- xG against / game
- 2.55
- xG differential / game
- 0.65
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 72.1
- Attempt share
- 55.9
- Faceoff win %
- 51.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 36.0 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 34.8 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.2
- Attempt share
- 53.8
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.6
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 0.643 | Points % | 0.750 |
| 31 | Goals for | 23 |
| 22 | Goals against | 20 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 3 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 6 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -2 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-1 | Record | 6-2-0 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 31 | Goals for | 23 |
| 22 | Goals against | 20 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
9 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
1 wins
Total goals58 – 30
Goal differential
+28
/
-28
Goals per game5.8 / 3.0
Shots per game34.2 / 31.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 8 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 1 | 33 - 16 | View |
| Oct 27, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 5 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 16, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
7 - 4 | 34 - 40 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 6 | 45 - 39 | View |
| Mar 16, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 4 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Jan 14, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 7 | 29 - 33 | View |
| Dec 4, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 6 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Nov 22, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 7 | 21 - 40 | View |
| Feb 11, 2020 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 3 | 34 - 36 | View |