Colorado Avalanche vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
114
Save %
86.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
31.6

Jakub Dobes

Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
133
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
33.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.38
xG against / game
2.61
xG differential / game
0.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Montréal Canadiens

xG for / game
3.17
xG against / game
3.49
xG differential / game
-0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.8
Attempt share
55.6
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 34.7 ft

Montréal Canadiens

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Attempt share
49.7
Faceoff win %
51.9
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
9Points7
0.643Points %0.500
31Goals for23
22Goals against27
9Goal differential-4
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
3Games4
2Wins2
4Points4
4Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
4-2-1Record3-3-1
9Points7
31Goals for23
22Goals against27
9Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 3 wins
Total goals37 – 24
Goal differential +13 / -13
Goals per game3.7 / 2.4
Shots per game34.3 / 26.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 29, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 7 23 - 36 View
Mar 22, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
5 - 4 37 - 29 View
Jan 4, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 23 - 23 View
Mar 26, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 27 - 28 View
Jan 15, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 35 - 34 View
Mar 13, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
8 - 4 33 - 19 View
Dec 21, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 2 20 - 36 View
Jan 22, 2022
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 30 - 46 View
Dec 2, 2021
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 1 34 - 20 View
Dec 5, 2019
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 35 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.