Colorado Avalanche vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 4, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 4, 2026.

January 4, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
35.3

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers · Last start: Jan 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
87.3
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
27.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
4.04
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
1.23

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Florida Panthers

xG for / game
3.14
xG against / game
2.81
xG differential / game
0.32

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
74.2
Attempt share
57.8
Faceoff win %
54.4
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 35.9 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Florida Panthers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.5
Attempt share
52.7
Faceoff win %
48.6
Penalties / game
5.7

Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.0% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
9Points10
0.643Points %0.625
31Goals for22
22Goals against22
9Goal differential0
OT1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA home
3Games2
2Wins1
4Points2
4Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Florida Panthers FLA
4-2-1Record4-2-2
9Points10
31Goals for22
22Goals against22
9Goal differential0
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Florida Panthers FLA 5 wins
Total goals36 – 37
Goal differential -1 / +1
Goals per game3.6 / 3.7
Shots per game32.9 / 34.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 11, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 6 25 - 42 View
Jan 6, 2025
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 3 27 - 34 View
Nov 23, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
7 - 4 25 - 31 View
Feb 10, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 - 4 34 - 41 View
Jan 6, 2024
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
8 - 4 29 - 26 View
Feb 11, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
5 - 3 50 - 45 View
Jan 10, 2023
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 4 37 - 31 View
Dec 12, 2021
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 31 - 26 View
Oct 21, 2021
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
1 - 4 31 - 38 View
Oct 30, 2019
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 3 38 - 30 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.