Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
38.9%
Fair American
+157
Fair decimal
2.57
Chicago Blackhawks vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 3, 2027
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 3, 2027.
April 3, 2027
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Dallas Stars at 61.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
61.1%
Fair American
-157
Fair decimal
1.64
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Apr 3, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 1.42
- ROI
- 47.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 3-5
- Net units
- -1.17
- ROI
- -14.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.45
- ROI
- -22.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 3-3
- Net units
- -1.14
- ROI
- -18.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 40.9
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 104
- Save %
- 96.2
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 27.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.28
- xG against / game
- 3.58
- xG differential / game
- -1.30
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 2.86
- xG against / game
- 2.61
- xG differential / game
- 0.25
8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent usage
Combinations to know
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsDallas Stars
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 44.4
- Attempt share
- 42.4
- Faceoff win %
- 43.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.67
Shots / game: 21.4 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Dallas Stars
8 / 8 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.9
- Attempt share
- 51.3
- Faceoff win %
- 57.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.563 |
| 21 | Goals for | 20 |
| 36 | Goals against | 13 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 3 |
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Points | 2 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-0 | Record | 4-3-1 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 21 | Goals for | 20 |
| 36 | Goals against | 13 |
| -15 | Goal differential | 7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
4 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
6 wins
Total goals25 – 33
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.5 / 3.3
Shots per game24.5 / 32.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 19 | View |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 31 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 1 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 6 | 27 - 26 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 3 | 26 - 40 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 30 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 44 - 17 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 35 | View |