Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.

February 28, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
87.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
27.7

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Feb 26

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
93.2
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
34.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.59
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
-0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.52

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
46.0
Attempt share
43.9
Faceoff win %
46.4
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 22.4 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Attempt share
55.8
Faceoff win %
51.6
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 31.7 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
6Points9
0.375Points %0.643
21Goals for31
32Goals against22
-11Goal differential9
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
4Games4
0Wins2
0Points5
-13Goal differential5
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
3-5-0Record4-2-1
6Points9
21Goals for31
32Goals against22
-11Goal differential9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 7 wins
Total goals13 – 31
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game1.3 / 3.1
Shots per game23.9 / 32.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 23, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 0 26 - 22 View
Apr 2, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 31 - 23 View
Mar 10, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 3 20 - 21 View
Jan 8, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 36 - 20 View
Oct 28, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 2 26 - 26 View
Mar 4, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 5 37 - 37 View
Feb 29, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 0 33 - 24 View
Dec 19, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 37 - 22 View
Oct 19, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 4 18 - 41 View
Mar 20, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 5 27 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.