Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 14, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning matchup on March 14, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Carolina Hurricanes a 53.3% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Carolina Hurricanes
(53.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 14, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Carolina Hurricanes
53.3%
Fair American: -114
Fair Decimal: 1.88
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Tampa Bay Lightning
46.7%
Fair American: +114
Fair Decimal: 2.14
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 113 | Points | 106 |
| 0.689 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 296 | Goals For | 290 |
| 240 | Goals Against | 231 |
| 56 | Goal Differential | 59 |
| W1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
CAR (Road)
|
Metric |
TBL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 26 |
| 53 | Points | 53 |
| 21 | Goal Differential | 22 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 39 | Goals For | 26 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 12 | Goal Differential | -4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
CAR
|
H2H Summary |
TBL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 28 | Total Goals | 33 |
| -5 | Goal Differential | +5 |
| 2.8 | Goals / Game | 3.3 |
| 29.5 | Shots / Game | 23.1 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 33 | View |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 6 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
1 - 4 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Jan 7, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 11, 2024 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 21 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
8 - 2 | 14 - 24 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
@
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Mar 28, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Carolina Hurricanes
@
|
0 - 6 | 14 - 38 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.