Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins matchup on March 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Buffalo Sabres a 51.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Buffalo Sabres
(51.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 5, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Buffalo Sabres
51.9%
Fair American: -108
Fair Decimal: 1.93
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins
48.1%
Fair American: +108
Fair Decimal: 2.08
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Points | 98 |
| 0.663 | Points % | 0.605 |
| 280 | Goals For | 288 |
| 236 | Goals Against | 261 |
| 44 | Goal Differential | 27 |
| W3 | Current Streak | L2 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
BUF (Road)
|
Metric |
PIT (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Games | 41 |
| 23 | Wins | 20 |
| 50 | Points | 48 |
| 13 | Goal Differential | 7 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 34 | Goals For | 45 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 36 |
| -1 | Goal Differential | 9 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
BUF
|
H2H Summary |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 28 | Total Goals | 37 |
| -9 | Goal Differential | +9 |
| 2.8 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 33.4 | Shots / Game | 31.5 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
2 - 4 | 31 - 19 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 7 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Jan 17, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 42 | View |
| Oct 16, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 43 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 1 | 32 - 41 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Dec 10, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
1 - 3 | 38 - 31 | View |
| Dec 9, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 31 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.