Buffalo Sabres vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2026.

January 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
157
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
31.8

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Jan 21

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
149
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
45.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
2.82
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.51

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.82
xG against / game
3.49
xG differential / game
-0.67

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.5
Attempt share
42.1
Faceoff win %
45.2
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 23.0 · Shooting: 18.3% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.4
Attempt share
47.4
Faceoff win %
50.2
Penalties / game
3.2

Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
7Points6
0.500Points %0.500
19Goals for19
26Goals against15
-7Goal differential4
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
2Games4
0Wins3
1Points6
-4Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
3-3-1Record3-3-0
7Points6
19Goals for19
26Goals against15
-7Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
Total goals29 – 19
Goal differential +10 / -10
Goals per game2.9 / 1.9
Shots per game33.2 / 28.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 20, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 34 - 32 View
Dec 23, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders New York Islanders
7 - 1 25 - 28 View
Nov 30, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 3 29 - 20 View
Nov 1, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 3 36 - 35 View
Mar 14, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 4 21 - 37 View
Oct 21, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
1 - 3 25 - 42 View
Oct 14, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 28 - 29 View
Mar 25, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 0 35 - 26 View
Mar 7, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 24 - 39 View
Jan 19, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 26 - 45 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.