Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for May 16, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens matchup on May 16, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Buffalo Sabres a 50.2% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Buffalo Sabres
(50.2%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
May 16, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Buffalo Sabres
50.2%
Fair American: -101
Fair Decimal: 1.99
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Montréal Canadiens
49.8%
Fair American: +101
Fair Decimal: 2.01
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 109 | Points | 106 |
| 0.665 | Points % | 0.646 |
| 288 | Goals For | 283 |
| 241 | Goals Against | 256 |
| 47 | Goal Differential | 27 |
| OT1 | Current Streak | L1 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
BUF (Road)
|
Metric |
MTL (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 24 |
| 52 | Points | 50 |
| 17 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 7-3-0 |
| 13 | Points | 14 |
| 34 | Goals For | 28 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 4 | Goal Differential | 4 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
BUF
|
H2H Summary |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 33 | Total Goals | 37 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | +4 |
| 3.3 | Goals / Game | 3.7 |
| 27.5 | Shots / Game | 28.2 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 38 | View |
| Jan 22, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
4 - 2 | 17 - 34 | View |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
3 - 5 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Oct 20, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
2 - 4 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
3 - 4 | 36 - 20 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
4 - 2 | 29 - 25 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
1 - 6 | 21 - 27 | View |
| Nov 11, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
@
Buffalo Sabres
@
|
7 - 5 | 23 - 18 | View |
| Feb 21, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
3 - 2 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
@
Montréal Canadiens
@
|
6 - 1 | 38 - 33 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.