Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for May 16, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for May 16, 2026.

May 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Buffalo Sabres

50-23-9
at
Home

Montréal Canadiens

48-24-10
Model favourite Montréal Canadiens at 54.4%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Buffalo Sabres logo
Away team

Buffalo Sabres

45.6%
Fair American +119
Fair decimal 2.19
Best market +137 · Bovada
Market implied 42.2%
Edge +3.4%
Expected value +8.1%
Calculate value
Montréal Canadiens logo
Home team

Montréal Canadiens

54.4%
Fair American -119
Fair decimal 1.84
Best market -155 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 60.8%
Edge -6.4%
Expected value -10.5%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
109Points106
0.665Points %0.646
288Goals for283
241Goals against256
47Goal differential27
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL home
41Games41
24Wins24
52Points50
17Goal differential10
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Montréal Canadiens MTL
6-3-1Record7-3-0
13Points14
34Goals for28
30Goals against24
4Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Montréal Canadiens MTL 6 wins
Total goals33 – 37
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game3.3 / 3.7
Shots per game27.5 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 31, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 2 31 - 38 View
Jan 22, 2026
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
4 - 2 17 - 34 View
Jan 15, 2026
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 5 23 - 27 View
Oct 20, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
2 - 4 32 - 31 View
Mar 3, 2025
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 4 36 - 20 View
Mar 1, 2025
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
4 - 2 29 - 25 View
Dec 17, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
1 - 6 21 - 27 View
Nov 11, 2024
Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
7 - 5 23 - 18 View
Feb 21, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
3 - 2 23 - 31 View
Jan 4, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens Montréal Canadiens
6 - 1 38 - 33 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings BUF MTL