💰 Daily Edge Board
Compare the full slate at once. Enter sportsbook odds for either side and instantly calculate implied probability, edge, EV, and Kelly sizing.
🎯 Best EV Summary
This section appears once sportsbook odds are entered and shows the best EV side for each game.
| Time | Matchup | Best Side | Model % | Book Odds | Implied % | Edge | EV | Kelly |
|---|
| Time | Matchup | Away % | Home % | Away Fair | Home Fair | Away Odds | Away Edge | Away EV | Away Kelly | Home Odds | Home Edge | Home EV | Home Kelly | Best EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:00 PM |
CHI
NYR
|
51.8% | 48.2% | -108 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| 6:00 PM |
DET
BUF
|
32.3% | 67.7% | 210 | -210 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CHI
@
NYR
CHI
NYR
DET
@
BUF
DET
BUF
1. Model Win Probability
This is the model’s estimate of how often a team should win. For example, 58.0% means the model expects that side to win about 58 times out of 100.
2. Fair Odds
Fair odds are the no-margin odds based on the model probability. They represent the break-even price implied by the model itself.
3. Sportsbook Odds
These are the American odds you enter manually, such as -110 or +125.
4. Implied Probability
This is the win probability implied by the sportsbook price you entered. It is calculated directly from the odds and includes sportsbook margin.
5. Edge
Edge is the difference between the model probability and the sportsbook implied probability.
Formula: Model Probability − Implied Probability
6. EV
EV stands for expected value. It estimates whether the entered price is favorable based on the model probability and payout.
Positive EV suggests theoretical value. Negative EV suggests the price is not favorable based on the model.
7. Kelly
Kelly is a bankroll sizing formula. It suggests what percentage of a bankroll to stake if the edge is real.
On this page, negative Kelly values are shown as 0.0% for readability.