All Model Picks
Net profit+8.63 units
Return on stake+8.1%
- Settled bets
- 106
- Wins – losses
- 64–42
- Awaiting results
- 0
Model transparency
Model betting performance
Simulated betting performance · Regular-season full-game moneylines · 1 unit risked per bet
Prices reflect simulated line shopping across captured sportsbooks. These are hypothetical results, not placed bets.
Value Picks
Net profit-6.08 units
Return on stake-6.5%
- Settled bets
- 94
- Wins – losses
- 40–54
- Awaiting results
- 0
Market Favourite
Net profit+2.84 units
Return on stake+2.7%
- Settled bets
- 106
- Wins – losses
- 65–41
- Awaiting results
- 0
How profit changes over time
Above zero means a profit; below zero means a loss. Each line tracks one strategy using a fixed one-unit stake per bet.
Chart unavailable. Strategy totals are shown above and individual results below.
Which games are included?
106 eligible games of 107 started games. 106 completed; 0 awaiting final results. 1237 future games are not included.
Excluded games
- Missing event: 0
- Ambiguous event: 0
- Invalid event mapping: 0
- Missing pregame odds: 0
- Invalid or unpaired odds: 0
- Missing pregame prediction: 1
- Invalid prediction: 0
Game history306 strategy entries
| Date / game | Strategy / pick | Model % / EV | Odds / book | Captured (CT) | Result | Net units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Colorado Avalanche | 64.9% 15.2% EV | -129 BetOnline.ag | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksColorado Avalanche | 64.9% 15.2% EV | -129 BetOnline.ag | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteColorado Avalanche | 64.9% 15.2% EV | -129 BetOnline.ag | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Montréal Canadiens | 50.0% 4.9% EV | +110 BetMGM | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Washington Capitals | 50.0% -9.3% EV | -123 BetOnline.ag | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.81 |
| Oct 14, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteWashington Capitals | 50.0% -9.3% EV | -123 BetOnline.ag | Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.81 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks San Jose Sharks | 51.5% 6.5% EV | +107 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksSan Jose Sharks | 51.5% 6.5% EV | +107 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market Favourite Boston Bruins | 48.5% -10.0% EV | -117 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.85 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Edmonton Oilers | 56.6% 0.2% EV | -130 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.77 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksEdmonton Oilers | 56.6% 0.2% EV | -130 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.77 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteEdmonton Oilers | 56.6% 0.2% EV | -130 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.77 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Calgary Flames | 44.8% 12.0% EV | +150 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 1.50 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Anaheim Ducks | 55.2% -12.1% EV | -169 MyBookie.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteAnaheim Ducks | 55.2% -12.1% EV | -169 MyBookie.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Utah Mammoth | 64.8% 6.6% EV | -155 BetUS | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.65 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksUtah Mammoth | 64.8% 6.6% EV | -155 BetUS | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.65 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteUtah Mammoth | 64.8% 6.6% EV | -155 BetUS | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.65 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Nashville Predators | 47.4% 0.4% EV | +112 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Vegas Golden Knights | 52.6% -3.5% EV | -120 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.83 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteVegas Golden Knights | 52.6% -3.5% EV | -120 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.83 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value PicksColorado Avalanche | 53.2% 0.2% EV | -113 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.88 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model PicksColorado Avalanche | 53.2% 0.2% EV | -113 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.88 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteColorado Avalanche | 53.2% 0.2% EV | -113 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.88 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Winnipeg Jets | 50.7% -2.3% EV | -108 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.93 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouriteWinnipeg Jets | 50.7% -2.3% EV | -108 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 0.93 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Chicago Blackhawks | 47.9% 15.3% EV | +141 BetOnline.ag | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Won | 1.41 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | All Model Picks Pittsburgh Penguins | 52.1% -13.1% EV | -150 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Market FavouritePittsburgh Penguins | 52.1% -13.1% EV | -150 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
| Oct 13, 2026 Matchup · Game details | Value Picks Vancouver Canucks | 39.6% 12.9% EV | +185 BetRivers | Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT | Lost | -1.00 |
Oct 14, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 64.9% / 15.2%
- Odds / book
- -129 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 14, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 64.9% / 15.2%
- Odds / book
- -129 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 14, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 64.9% / 15.2%
- Odds / book
- -129 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 14, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Montréal Canadiens
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / 4.9%
- Odds / book
- +110 · BetMGM
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 14, 2026Won · 0.81u
All Model Picks
Washington Capitals
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / -9.3%
- Odds / book
- -123 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 14, 2026Won · 0.81u
Market Favourite
Washington Capitals
- Model / EV
- 50.0% / -9.3%
- Odds / book
- -123 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 14, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
San Jose Sharks
- Model / EV
- 51.5% / 6.5%
- Odds / book
- +107 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
San Jose Sharks
- Model / EV
- 51.5% / 6.5%
- Odds / book
- +107 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.85u
Market Favourite
Boston Bruins
- Model / EV
- 48.5% / -10.0%
- Odds / book
- -117 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.77u
Value Picks
Edmonton Oilers
- Model / EV
- 56.6% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -130 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.77u
All Model Picks
Edmonton Oilers
- Model / EV
- 56.6% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -130 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.77u
Market Favourite
Edmonton Oilers
- Model / EV
- 56.6% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -130 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 1.50u
Value Picks
Calgary Flames
- Model / EV
- 44.8% / 12.0%
- Odds / book
- +150 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Anaheim Ducks
- Model / EV
- 55.2% / -12.1%
- Odds / book
- -169 · MyBookie.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Anaheim Ducks
- Model / EV
- 55.2% / -12.1%
- Odds / book
- -169 · MyBookie.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.65u
Value Picks
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 64.8% / 6.6%
- Odds / book
- -155 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.65u
All Model Picks
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 64.8% / 6.6%
- Odds / book
- -155 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.65u
Market Favourite
Utah Mammoth
- Model / EV
- 64.8% / 6.6%
- Odds / book
- -155 · BetUS
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Nashville Predators
- Model / EV
- 47.4% / 0.4%
- Odds / book
- +112 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.83u
All Model Picks
Vegas Golden Knights
- Model / EV
- 52.6% / -3.5%
- Odds / book
- -120 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.83u
Market Favourite
Vegas Golden Knights
- Model / EV
- 52.6% / -3.5%
- Odds / book
- -120 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.88u
Value Picks
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 53.2% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -113 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.88u
All Model Picks
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 53.2% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -113 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.88u
Market Favourite
Colorado Avalanche
- Model / EV
- 53.2% / 0.2%
- Odds / book
- -113 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.93u
All Model Picks
Winnipeg Jets
- Model / EV
- 50.7% / -2.3%
- Odds / book
- -108 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 0.93u
Market Favourite
Winnipeg Jets
- Model / EV
- 50.7% / -2.3%
- Odds / book
- -108 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Won · 1.41u
Value Picks
Chicago Blackhawks
- Model / EV
- 47.9% / 15.3%
- Odds / book
- +141 · BetOnline.ag
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
All Model Picks
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Model / EV
- 52.1% / -13.1%
- Odds / book
- -150 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Market Favourite
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Model / EV
- 52.1% / -13.1%
- Odds / book
- -150 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Oct 13, 2026Lost · -1.00u
Value Picks
Vancouver Canucks
- Model / EV
- 39.6% / 12.9%
- Odds / book
- +185 · BetRivers
- Captured (CT)
- Oct 13, 2026 10:00 AM CDT
Betting performance by team
Results for bets backing the selected team, using one-unit stakes.
Dallas Stars
All Model Picks
Net profit-0.45 units
Return on stake-22.5%
- Settled bets
- 2
- Wins – losses
- 1–1
- Awaiting results
- 0
Value Picks
Net profit0.00 units
Return on stakeN/A
- Settled bets
- 0
- Wins – losses
- 0–0
- Awaiting results
- 0
Market Favourite
Net profit-1.61 units
Return on stake-32.2%
- Settled bets
- 5
- Wins – losses
- 2–3
- Awaiting results
- 0
Cumulative units backing this team
What do units and ROI mean?
One unit is a fixed amount you choose, such as $10. Every simulated bet risks that same amount. A net result of +3 units would mean a $30 profit with $10 units.
ROI compares profit with the amount staked. Winning 5 units after staking 100 units gives a 5% ROI. Picking more winners does not always mean more profit: the odds paid on those wins matter.
All Model Picks backs the model's predicted winner. Value Picks only bets when the model estimates a positive return at the captured price. Market Favourite backs the side the sportsbooks rate more likely to win. Different strategies can place different numbers of bets, so check the settled count alongside ROI.
Technical methodology and exclusions
Each simulated bet risks one fixed unit. A win earns decimal odds minus one; a loss costs one unit. ROI equals net units divided by settled units risked. No compounding or variable stakes.
All Model Picks backs the predicted winner. Value Picks backs the higher estimated EV side only when EV is above zero; exact EV ties are skipped. Market Favourite uses the average no-vig home win probability across sportsbooks quoting both teams, then takes that side's best captured price. Tied market probabilities are skipped.
All strategies share the same eligible game pool. Prices come from the latest captured full-game moneyline batch strictly before the scheduled start, using the earlier start if event times differ. Best odds are chosen only within that batch, never from later or mixed captures. Predictions normally must have been published by that capture time. A fixed set of completed 2026-27 games is included retrospectively after testing and fixes overwrote timestamps; individual history entries identify these revisions. Captured prices may not represent actual closing odds or prices available to every bettor.
Only final results with a recorded REG, OT or SO outcome settle bets. Missing results remain pending. Ambiguous event mappings, invalid odds, unpaired markets and unavailable pregame predictions are excluded. Legacy predictions use existing timestamps; earlier overwritten revisions are not invented. The selected season starts at 2026-27.